Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.903001 1.055755 1.226257 1.430672 1.669125 1.938558 2.266230
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.671516 0.877639 1.134153 1.476854 1.922979 2.484541 3.246086
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.534432 0.756293 1.054670 1.485339 2.091633 2.915888 4.124048
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.438348 0.661659 0.981484 1.472990 2.210281 3.277166 4.942751
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.370166 0.590760 0.924326 1.465485 2.323001 3.632520 5.791321
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.322798 0.541449 0.888501 1.479453 2.462841 4.038538 6.765599
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.272558 0.478419 0.819948 1.427756 2.485383 4.255999 7.459470
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.257389 0.471160 0.840604 1.525483 2.767423 4.932551 9.013787
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.222663 0.423932 0.785332 1.481404 2.793354 5.168908 9.822093
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.192659 0.380653 0.730610 1.429379 2.795256 5.358415 10.564168
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.168302 0.344427 0.683692 1.384674 2.803025 5.556373 11.343760
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.155162 0.328347 0.672989 1.408655 2.946958 6.031053 12.729177
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.150343 0.329094 0.696701 1.507632 3.260589 6.891388 15.041695
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.140690 0.318340 0.695638 1.555211 3.474771 7.579505 17.096746
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.128833 0.300953 0.678006 1.564079 3.605723 8.107515 18.875421
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.116756 0.281227 0.652408 1.551072 3.684953 8.530862 20.473894
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106477 0.264176 0.630455 1.543170 3.774327 8.987486 22.212525
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.098804 0.252267 0.618771 1.557877 3.919054 9.590163 24.385349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.087853 0.230645 0.581012 1.503443 3.886978 9.767148 25.530794
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086706 0.233862 0.604521 1.606345 4.264502 10.994441 29.517908
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.077921 0.215782 0.572031 1.559931 4.249834 11.234825 30.961613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.069711 0.198076 0.538165 1.505152 4.205373 11.392452 32.205961
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.062728 0.182765 0.508628 1.458079 4.175415 11.584436 33.572898